We’re starting to get a better sense of what the 2022 NFL season will look like for many teams. Now that we’re in the Week 3 rankings and sleepers, it’s also time to take advantage of overreacting managers. The purchases and sales are back, and yet another random fun ranking. This time inspired by your requests after tweeting about my delicious cake from last week.
Waivers | True SOS (APA – Wednesday update)
Fantasy Football 101 (start, sit, trade, more)
Podcast — with video!
2022 Week 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers
HEADS UP These are sleepers. They will not mimic my rankings 100%. This is about the pursuit of profit and often involves more risk, but based on WHAT match upsyou can “go broke” if necessary.
POSSIBLE START: Carson Wentz, WSH — As mentioned in my week 3 waivers column, Wentz isn’t going to throw more than 40 times each week, but the commander’s defense — and Wentz’s interceptions — help push the attack to throw more. It helps that defenses can’t win, trying to stop Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson and/or Curtis Samuel. Death by a thousand cuts… well, three, or four if you add the backfield, and even five with a healthy Logan Thomas.
The Commanders also play host to the Eagles’ unstoppable attack, hinting at a gunfight…which, of course, means a 10-7 slog-fest ahead.
HAIL MARY START: Jared Goff, DET — The risk with Goff is zero rushing up, and if he only throws 1-2 touchdowns, there’s normally no 300-400 yards to make up for that. While Aaron Rodgers didn’t do much against the Vikings in Week 1, he didn’t have much to throw at, and he struggled early in the season. Jalen Hurts tore them apart — also on the ground — completing 26 of his 31 attempts for 333 yards and a touchdown. Goff has the advantage of throwing three touchdowns this week.
POSSIBLE START: Devin Singletary, BUF — Bills’ backfield remains frustrating for its lack of consistency, but at least Singletary is consistently first in the odds. While the Ravens running backs didn’t do much against Miami, Lamar Jackson ate the Dolphins and even posted 5.0 YPC on his eight rushes outside of the 79-yard house call. Additionally, Damien Harris had 48 yards on nine carries in Week 1, although Rhamondre Stevenson didn’t have the same success. This is risky, but if the Dolphins attack can keep up, Singletary could be an RB2.
POSSIBLE START: Dameon Pierce, HOLD — We knew the slipper would fall off for Rex Burkhead, only no one expected it to happen in a week. Pierce led the way and the bear attack can’t shy away from (more on that soon). Aaron Jones just shredded the Bears 132 yards and carries a touchdown on 15.
HAIL MARY START: Jamaal Williams, DET – We are aiming for a touchdown with Williams as D’Andre Swift’s backup limits Williams’ touches to 12 and 13 respectively in the first two weeks. The match-up is quite favorable as the Vikings failed to stop the Eagles ground game, 34-for-163 and two scores (both Hurts). Boston Scott looked like he was being shot out of a cannon as at one point he went straight to center for a 16-yard run, and we shoot for some decent runs for Williams, hopefully with one ending in a score.
POSSIBLE START: Allen Robinson, LAR — Robinson bounced back, but it wasn’t a week changer, just a fun game (5-4-53-1). Honestly, a Top 25 performance of a team’s No. 2 recipient would be a welcome site if it happened every week. Well, the Cardinals have allowed 42.1% of their opponents’ drives to end with a touchdown, including nine 20+ yards receptions and seven receiving touchdowns. Cooper Kupp and Arob should have a big week 3.
POSSIBLE START: JuJu Smith-Schuster, KC — Brandin Cooks 7-82-0, Christian Kirk 6-78-2. Those were the best away games against the Colts the first two weeks, and while Travis Kelce is technically the best receiving option for the Chiefs, JJSS is second to Marquez Valdes-Scantling with a 15.1 TmTGT%. He also has 1.46 YPRR versus 0.89 from MVS.
HAIL MARY START: Darnell Mooney, CHIA – Here we go. Mooney has fallen on Hail Mary’s starting area, and when your team only tries 11 passes, you’ll understand why. But even as the Colts and Broncos put in a lackluster performance against the Texans, these Texans have already allowed 10 receptions over 20 yards—the most in the league. The Bears also faced the 49ers and Packers, two defenses that were much better than the Texans. Of course Justin Fields has to throw it more than 11 times. Hopefully he won’t ruin this for desperate managers.
POSSIBLE START: Evan Engram, JAX — Don’t look now, but Engram is eighth in Route% for tight ends with 17.6 TmTGT%. Sure, it only ended up being 74 yards, but he caught all but one of his targets (his hands are working!). The Chargers are a tough matchup, but the tight finishing position is already dirty, and we’re chasing the volume… hopefully.
HAIL MARY START: Tyler Conklin, NYJ — Speaking of volume, Conklin has a higher Route% than Engram at 84.4. Even with the amazing trio of receivers for the Jets, Conklin has seen 16 targets (16.0 TmTGT%) for 10-56-1. When the Bengals get back on track and turn this into a high-scoring affair, the Jets have shown they can keep up and Conklin has the potential to score.
Have fun with rankings!
In case you missed the tweet of the amazing cake find I took home and made (no, wasn’t a recipe from scratch), here it is in its glory!
Glad I made a Cinnamon Toast Crunch cake today to eat away my sadness pic.twitter.com/4yKFtoyAVD
— Jake Ciely (@allinkid) September 18, 2022
I was surprised that people wanted boxcake rankings… maybe they were mocking me, but if they did, hey, I was having fun anyway. However, getting 10 cakes on this list is a bit difficult.
- Betty Crocker Cinnamon Toast Crunch, CTC Frosting – The cake and frosting have bits of cinnamon, and you know I love Cinnamon Toast Crunch
- Betty Crocker Butter Yellow, Chocolate Glaze – It’s the classic, but better because… butter
- Duncan Hines Fudge Marble, Chocolate Frosting — If you want a little more chocolate than yellow cake, but not too much, this is the perfect mix
- Pillsbury Funfetti Oreo, Funfetti Oreo Frosting – underrated. Well Oreos are amazing so maybe people know how good this cake can be
- Duncan Hines Chocolate, Chocolate Frosting – It’s a lot of chocolate, but it’s really good, and Duncan Hines does chocolate the best (their fudge brownies are tops too)
- Krusteaz Cinnamon Swirl Crumb – Not technically a “real cake”, but crumble (sometimes coffee cake) is one of my favorites, and this is awesome
- Duncan Hines Red Velvet, Cream Cheese Frosting – Red Velvet is not a flavor! It is a cocoa flavor with red dye. Now that we’ve got that out of the way, it’s still pretty tasty with the cream cheese frosting for a perfect pairing
- Pillsbury Funfetti, Vanilla Funfetti Frosting – “Birthday Cake” flavor is what some call it. Light and fun fetish
- Duncan Hines Epic Fruity Pebbles, Fruity Pebbles Frosting – The Pebbles have an odd texture compared to eating the cereal, which makes this more disappointing than delicious (I mean it’s cake so it’s still good)
- Carrot Cake – No. Worst place! Vegetable pie? meh. Stop.
BUY AND SELL
- Tom Brady, QB, TB – Brady’s reception corps has been a mess so far. It may be a few more weeks (once Chris Godwin is back), but Brady was QB2 last year.
- Derrick Henry, RB, TEN – Week 1 was a mess receiving touchdowns from Dontrell Hilliard, and in week 2 the Titans pulled starters into a blowout early. Henry is still a beast and you want to buy low before the 150/1 game happens.
- Ken Walker, RB, SEA – I don’t want anything to do with starting Seahawks running backs, but Walker fits the role of Chris Carson better than Rashad Penny, who loses some value because of Travis Homer. Walker may never be bootable, but he’s borderline free (people want to drop him).
- Cam Akers, RB, LAR — The return to Akers started in week 2. We may never get to 70% of the work for Akers, but even if Akers is around 60-65% he would be back in the weekly Top 20.
- Elijah Moore, WR, NYJ — Leads the Jets receivers in snaps and Route%. Moore’s time is coming, even if Garrett Wilson is his 1A or 1B, Moore would be the other half as both are better than Corey Davis.
- DK Metcalf, WR, SEA — I don’t want to hear any more about ‘quarterbacks cooking’ in Seattle. In any case, the Seahawks realize the attack stinks, and it really is a two-man show with Tyler Lockett (26.3 TmTGT%) and Metcalf (22.8), with Metcalf having the only red zone and end zone targets so far ( each one).
- Kyle Pitts, TE, ATL — As with the Seahawks, it’s a two-man show, and Drake London’s meteoric rise will help balance the coverage and open things up for better days. People have lined up Pitts as a Top 4 tight end for a reason.
- Antonio Gibson, RB, WSH – Gibson could keep his lead if he upholds confidence, especially as he is second in G2G (Goal-to-Go, within 10) rushes (four) and equal for most GLR (Goal-line Rush, within 5 ), also with four. But the impending return of Brian Robinson looms large.
- Michael Carter, RB, NYJ – Breece Hall’s turn could come soon as the rookie flashed a lot of advantage in week 2. Carter has mostly locked the passing game, but if Hall starts to eat into that work, Carter would slide to an RB3.
- Jahan Dotson, WR, WSH – Dotson leads in Commander’s Route% (94.9) and touchdowns (three), but he’s fourth in TmTGT% with 11.8, even behind Logan Thomas, making him the most volatile and likely regression.
- Gerald Everett, TE, LAC – Everett has been a great addition for the first two weeks, and it’s rare for anyone to trade for tight ends, but Donald Parham – once back – will use Everett’s use and value.
Week 3 Fantasy Football Projections
HEADS UP These may deviate from my rankings, and my ranks are the order I would start players out of added context, such as, “Need the highest benefit, even if it’s risky.” Also based on 4-point TDs for QB, 6-point rest and Half-PPR
Download link added Thursday
***These are NOT updated on Sunday morning, for your information***
Fantasy football ranking in week 3
- Nothing but half PPR as FantasyPros’ automatic calculation of non and full PPR ranks may be disabled. But there is so little difference between not and half and full with half that you need not worry.
- ECR = Expert Consensus Rank. Don’t focus too much on it, because not all experts update consistently/constantly.
- Updated regularly, so check all the way to the close of lineups.
(Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)