Betting tips for English Premier League matches from week 9 and beyond

Football continues this week with Premier League matches and more.

So which team should you bet on and what are the big storylines? Our analysts are here to give you all the input you need.

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.


The EPL is back this weekend after sitting outside for the last international window before the World Cup last weekend. And what better way to kick things off than Arsenal (-102) vs. Tottenham (+260)? Who do you like and why?

Dan Thomas: Draw. Draw. Draw. Everything about this game feels like it’s going to be a point. Arsenal will dominate and take the lead early, but the Spurs will take them down and the spoils will be shared.

Paul Carr: As much as I hate to agree with Dan, the draw (+270) seems like the best bet on the three-way line. Tottenham will likely let Arsenal have more of the ball and then try to strike on the counter, and Arsenal have not been so good at knocking out games this season. Spurs have scored in every league game this season, including draws at Chelsea and West Ham, keeping just one opponent under the 0.7 expected goals. The Gunners have also scored in every game, but conceded three goals out of 1.6 expected goals in their only game against a Big 6 opponent (Man United). A 1-1 or 2-2 final seems to be in the offing.

Lowering Cuff: I am aware, my bias is reflected here. The guys above are probably right, a draw is the game. So I’m looking for different angles. Over 2.5 goals, which I love at -145. Both teams score, I also like at -170. It’s not a good price, but they’re very good games that I’ll probably put some money on. But what I’m definitely going for is a straight Gunners win bet on +105. At home, against your biggest rival, on an international break… this is more my heart than my head2, but still, if they want to be a top-4 club, these are games they have to win — the ones they haven’t had in years. done.

There has been some controversy this week over whether Trent Alexander-Arnold deserves inclusion in the England national team. Would you be willing to take a chance on the Liverpool lad who scores against Brighton at (+2000) this week?

Carr: He has 14 goals in 235 appearances for Liverpool so it’s not unreasonable to play him at +2000 to score. Thiago Alcantara should be healthy and rested in Liverpool’s midfield, so the Reds should find the form we expected them to be before the season. But if I had to play this game, I would take the goal and a half at Brighton. The Seagulls have played well on the road this season, winning at Old Trafford and London Stadium and probably earning at least a point at Craven Cottage. Liverpool and Brighton have similar expected goals this season, and while there is always the potential for Liverpool to blow an opponent’s doors at Anfield, I would go for Brighton +1.5 (-125).

Thomas: Naturally! He is well equipped!

Cuff: A litter on a long shot flyer? Of course why not? But think it’s highly unlikely it will hit. I like Paul’s play above, but I’m also considering scoring both teams, no draw at +145.

Speaking of the Three Lions, their Nations League outings over the past week (1-0 loss to Italy, 3-3 draw with Germany) haven’t exactly made Nick Pope a fan favorite. Are we seeing bets that we want to take advantage of the residual shell shock that lingers for the Newcastle keeper as he faces Fulham?

Carr: I like goals in this game, and not just because of Pope’s international battle. Fulham games this season have had the most expected goals of all in the Premier League this season, averaging 3.0 per game, and Newcastle is not far behind with 2.7 in total expected goals per game. Both teams are also in the top six in total shots per game, so there should be plenty of action in front of the goal. Plus Fulham’s Aleksandar Mitrovic is apparently unstoppable. He has scored six goals in seven Premier League appearances this season and scored four times in two Nations League appearances for Serbia last week. I take 2.5 goals (-105) in this match.

Thomas: Not sure I like the anti-English tone of the question. Fulham have looked good so far this season. Meanwhile, we’ve only seen Newcastle shine in tatters. I fancy a draw on this one.

Cuff: Fulham were solid early in the season with 11 points from seven games, good for sixth place. They have had strong results at home (2-0-1), and those wins are beyond upstart Brighton, Brentford, and the draw was the season opener against Liverpool. I want them to defend the Cottage well. There will be targets, but good value in the two-way market; draw, no bet Fulham +115.

What are you looking at in the other European competitions?

Thomas: I would put the over in goals at Old Trafford. Should be a very entertaining tie.

What’s your best bet for the weekend?

Carr: Chelsea start Saturday at Crystal Palace and have a slew of questions about the line-up, for reasons ranging from injuries to the international break to Graham Potter’s first Premier League game. That’s why I prefer the stability of Patrick Vieira’s Palace team, who played well against Arsenal and Liverpool and led 2-0 in the Etihad before Man City became Man City. The odds suggest Chelsea (-116 to win) have improved by simply firing Thomas Tuchel. Maybe that’s the case, but we haven’t seen it yet. I side with Palace and take the half goal at -105.

Cuff: Southampton hosts Everton in what should be a low-scoring affair. The Saints have collected just seven goals in seven games (eliminated in their last two appearances), while Everton have just five in as many. However, the Toffees’ road form was solid, earning a point in two of their road races. I like the under 2.5 goals at -120, but I’m also going to tie at +235.

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